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GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty April 2025 futures contract is up 22 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 7,470.36 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers to the tune of Rs 3,202.26 crore in the Indian equity market on 21 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 33419.92 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures rose 215 points, signaling a strong opening for US stocks today. Media reports suggest that President Donald Trump’s April 2 tariffs will be narrower and less stringent than initially feared, easing concerns about their economic impact.

Asian stocks showed a mixed trend on Monday as investors braced for Trump’s looming April 2 tariff deadline.

In Japan, business activity shrank for the first time in five months. The au Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 in March, down from 49.0 in February, marking its ninth consecutive month of contraction. Meanwhile, the Services PMI dropped to 49.5 from 53.7, the first decline since mid-2024. A PMI reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Meanwhile, Chinese Premier Li Qiang warned of “rising instability” and urged nations to open up their markets.

On Friday, US market closed higher as Trump hinted at "flexibility" on tariffs, although he reaffirmed the April 2 deadline for reciprocal duties.

The S&P 500 rose 0.08% to 5,667.56 points, while the NASDAQ Composite rose 0.52% to 17,784.05 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.08% to 41,985.35 points.

Nike stock slipped over 5% after fiscal fourth-quarter revenue estimate came in below analysts’ expectations.

While stocks have rebounded from oversold levels, investors remain cautious. Until there is clarity on the tariff situation—expected by April 2—the market’s upside potential will likely remain limited.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks closed with substantial gains on Friday, rising for the fifth day in a row. This sustained rally was primarily driven by renewed foreign fund inflows into the cash market over the past two trading sessions, significantly bolstering investor confidence. The Nifty index closed just above the 23,350 mark, with media, energy, and PSU bank sectors experiencing strong demand. Conversely, the consumer durables, metals, and IT sectors faced declines.

The S&P BSE Sensex surged 557.45 points, or 0.73%, to 76,905.51. The Nifty 50 index rallied 159.75 points, or 0.69%, to 23,350.40. In the five consecutive sessions, the Sensex and the Nifty have jumped 4.16% and 4.25%, respectively.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is down 21 points, indicating a negative opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 3,239.14 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers to the tune of Rs 3,136.02 crore in the Indian equity market on 20 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 36675.15 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks showed a mixed performance on Friday as investors remained cautious about prolonged high-interest rates and the potential for increased trade tariffs under President Donald Trump.

Earlier this week, Trump announced that broad reciprocal tariffs, along with sector-specific duties, would take effect on April 2, fueling uncertainty in global markets.

Japanese consumer price index inflation grew slightly more than expected in February, with a rise in underlying inflation fueling bets that the Bank of Japan will keep raising interest rates this year. National CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year, slightly cooling from January’s 4.0%. Core CPI, which excludes fresh food prices, increased 3.0%, compared to 3.2% in January. A more refined core measure, excluding both fresh food and energy, climbed 2.6%, up from 2.5% the previous month. Inflation is still well above the BOJ’s 2% target.

U.S. stock indices reversed early gains to close lower on Thursday, hovering near six-month lows as investor sentiment remained fragile. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% on Friday. The NASDAQ Composite fell 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed flat.

Microchip Technology Inc. tumbled 6.5% after announcing plans to raise $1.35 billion through convertible stock to repay debt and enter a capped call transaction. Darden Restaurants surged 5% after reporting strong Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings.

Trump’s tariff strategy remains a major market concern, especially as he wavers on measures against Canada and Mexico. Meanwhile, China, the eurozone, and other affected regions have outlined retaliatory tariffs, heightening fears of a full-blown trade war.

The US Labor Department data showed that first-time unemployment claims inched up last week. Initial jobless claims rose to 223,000 for the week ending March 15, up from a revised 221,000 in the previous week.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks closed with robust gains on Thursday, marking their fourth consecutive day of increase. Market sentiment improved in reaction to the US Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates and indicate future cuts. The Nifty opened above 23,000 and extended its gains, crossing 23,200 intraday before settling above the 23,190 mark. Volatility was observed during trading due to the weekly options expiry on the NSE. All sectoral indices on the NSE closed positively, with the energy, auto, and FMCG sectors leading the gains.

The S&P BSE Sensex surged 899.01 points or 1.19% to 76,348.06. The Nifty 50 index soared 283.05 points or 1.24% to 23,190.65. In the four consecutive sessions, the Sensex and the Nifty jumped 3.41% and 3.54%, respectively.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 8 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,096.50 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,140.76 crore in the Indian equity market on 19 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 35708.40 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures was up 105 points, indicating a positive opening in US stocks today.

Most Asian stocks rose on Thursday following a rally on Wall Street after the Federal Reserve signaled it still sees room to cut interest rates later this year because any increase in inflation due to tariffs will be brief.

The People’s Bank of China kept the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1% and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%, where they have been since a quarter-percentage-point cut in October. The rate decision follows the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to hold benchmark interest rates.

On Wednesday, the Fed maintained its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range and signaled that two quarter-point rate cuts are likely later this year, consistent with its forecast from three months ago. This came even as the central bank Fed cut its US economic growth forecasts and raised projections for price growth. The Fed flagged growing uncertainty over the impact of Trump’s policies on the economy.

As per the the Fed’s quarterly economic projections, real GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.7% by the end of 2025, down from the 2.1% forecast in December. The unemployment rate is projected to rise slightly to 4.4%, compared to the previous estimate of 4.3%. Core inflation is now expected to end the year at 2.8%, up from the prior forecast of 2.5%.

Trump kept up his threats of reciprocal tariffs coming in April 2- a move that is likely to draw more retaliation from major global economies and spark a renewed trade war.

US stocks rallied following the decision amid encouragement that further cuts could be ahead. The Dow jumped 0.92% and the S&P 500 surged just over 1.08%. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.41%.

Tesla stock rose over 4% after advancing its robotaxi plans in California, and Boeing Co. jumped 7% on positive operational performance updates from its CFO.

Investors will monitor weekly jobless claims data on Thursday, as well as the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey and a report on existing home sales.

On the quarterly earnings front, Darden Restaurants, Nike, FedEx and Micron Technology are set to report Thursday.

SoftBank announced on Wednesday its plan to acquire chip designer Ampere Computing for $6.5 billion, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of the year

Domestic Market:

Domestic equity benchmarks closed with moderate gains on Wednesday, marking a third consecutive day of increases. The Indian Rupee's strengthening against the U.S. Dollar bolstered market sentiment as investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision later tonight. The Nifty ended above the 22,900 level. Consumer durables, realty, and PSU bank shares saw gains, while IT and FMCG shares declined.

The S&P BSE Sensex advanced 147.79 points or 0.20% to 75,449.05. The Nifty 50 index added 73.30 points or 0.32% to 22,907.60. In the three conseutive sessions, the Sensex and the Nifty jumped 2.19% and 2.28%, respectively.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 11.50 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 694.57 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,534.75 crore in the Indian equity market on 18 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 36972.48 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures was up 65 points, indicating a positive opening in US stocks today.

Most Asian stocks traded higher on Wednesday, amid persistent cheer over more stimulus measures in China. However, investors remained cautious about potential further tariff actions by U.S. President Donald Trump, who reiterated threats of reciprocal trade tariffs beginning in early April. Additionally, attention was focused on negotiations for a U.S.-brokered Russia-Ukraine peace deal.

Traders kept a close eye on interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan and U.S. Federal Reserve later in the day.

Japan’s trade balance increased less than anticipated in February, amid heightened concerns regarding U.S. trade tariffs. Trade balance rose to a surplus of 584.5 billion yen ($3.91 billion), according to government data released on Wednesday. The print improved from a deficit of 2.76 trillion yen in January. The softer surplus was largely due to weaker-than-expected export growth. Exports grew 11.4% year-on-year, up from the 7.3% pace seen in January.

U.S. indices declined on Tuesday, as a two-day rebound from six-month lows largely dissipated. Tech losses contributed to the decline, as did ongoing concerns regarding higher Trump tariffs and a potential recession. At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.62%, while the S&P 500 index declined 1.07%, and the NASDAQ Composite index fell 1.71%.

Trump reiterated his threats to enforce reciprocal tariffs against major U.S. trading partners from April 2. He also reiterated plans for automobile and commodity tariffs. Trump has warned of some near-term economic turbulence as he carries out his agenda. Investors fear that trade-related disruptions will undermine U.S. economic growth.

Among tech decliners, NVIDIA Corporation declined by more than 3%, continuing a recent downturn, despite CEO Jensen Huang's statement that the chipmaker is well-positioned to capitalize on the shift in artificial intelligence toward inference from training. The stock fell 0.6% in after-hours trading.

Tesla Inc. recovered 1.2% in after-hours trading, following a 5.3% decline during the session, amid ongoing concerns regarding slowing sales, a deteriorating brand image, and growing public outrage over CEO Elon Musk’s interactions with the Trump administration.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks surged on Tuesday, fueled by positive global market sentiment and anticipation of key monetary policy decisions from Japan and the U.S. A strong, sustained bullish trend saw the Nifty cross 22,800, demonstrating robust investor confidence. All NSE sectoral indices closed in the green, with consumer durables, media, and realty sectors leading gains. Broader market indices, including midcap and smallcap, outpaced the main indices, signaling widespread market participation.

The S&P BSE Sensex climbed 1,131.31 points or 1.53% to 75,301.26. The Nifty 50 index surged 325.55 points or 1.45% to 22,834.30.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 6 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 4,488.45 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 6,000.60 crore in the Indian equity market on 17 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 32526.74 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures slipped 80 points, setting the stage for a weak opening in US stocks today.

Most Asian stocks climbed on Tuesday, fueled by increasing optimism regarding China's economic outlook and encouraging U.S. economic data that alleviated concerns of a recession.

China has introduced a new Special Action Plan aimed at stimulating domestic consumption and attracting foreign investment. This plan focuses on several key areas: boosting consumer confidence through income increases and reduced financial burdens, stabilizing financial markets by addressing regulatory uncertainties and expanding bond offerings, and ultimately positioning China as a more reliable investment alternative compared to the perceived instability of the U.S.

In the United States, major indices closed higher on Monday, continuing their recent recovery for a second consecutive session. This positive trend followed the release of favorable economic data that helped to diminish fears of a recession. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 5,675.13 points on Monday, while the NASDAQ Composite rose 0.3% to 17,808.66 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% to 41,841.70 points. This upward movement was also supported by bargain buying, following Wall Street's recent dip into correction territory last week.

Nvidia fell nearly 2% at the start of the week, just ahead of its annual GTC conference on March 18th. Tesla Inc. also saw a drop of more than 4% after Mizuho lowered its price target for the stock to $415 from $430, citing a less optimistic outlook for electric vehicle sales.

On the economic data front, U.S. retail sales rose by 0.2% last month, following a revised 1.2% decline in January. This growth, however, was weaker than the previously predicted 0.6% increase.

Additionally, the Atlanta Fed’s gross domestic product (GDP) forecast for the first quarter indicated a 2.1% decline, which is slightly better than the previous estimate of a 2.4% decrease.

Investors are now closely monitoring the two-day Federal Reserve meeting, which begins on Tuesday, for further insights into the economy and future interest rate decisions. It is widely anticipated that the central bank will maintain current interest rates.

Domestic Market:

Domestic stock indices saw minor gains on Monday, buoyed by receding fears of a US government shutdown and anticipation of the US Federal Reserve's upcoming policy review. The Nifty closed just above 22,500, with pharma and healthcare sectors showing strong performance. After a higher opening driven by positive global market trends, indices experienced some profit-taking. The market's upward movement was supported by recovering global markets and favorable domestic economic data.

The S&P BSE Sensex advanced 341.04 points or 0.46% to 74,169.95. The Nifty 50 index added 111.55 points or 0.50% to 22,508.75.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 20 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 792.90 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,723.82 crore in the Indian equity market on 13 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 19659.72 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures slipped 174 points, setting the stage for a weak opening in US stocks today. Market sentiment remains fragile amid persistent concerns over US trade tariffs and slowing economic growth. Investors are also bracing for a series of central bank meetings this week, particularly from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.

Asian stocks edged higher on Monday, buoyed by optimism over China's economy after Beijing introduced targeted measures to boost spending. However, lingering fears of a US-led trade war kept gains in check.

China's retail sales rose by 4.0% in the January-February period from a year ago, compared with the 3.7% year-on-year growth in December. The country's industrial production climbed 5.9% in the first two months of the year from a year ago, slower than the 6.2% growth in December. Its fixed asset investment, reported on a year-to-date basis, rose by 4.1%, beating the 3.2% increase last year.

The data came shortly after Chinese policymakers over the weekend unveiled an action plan to boost consumption, a top policy priority for Beijing. The plan said the government will work to increase income for both urban and rural residents, while also taking measures to boost employment. It pledged to expand trade-in programs for home appliances and cars while vowing to stabilize the nation’s stock and property market, which affect consumer confidence.

After a bruising market correction, US stock indices bounced back on Friday, powered by bargain hunting in beaten-down tech stocks. The S&P 500 surged 2.1%, the NASDAQ jumped 2.6%, and the Dow Jones gained 1.7%.

However, consumer sentiment remains shaky. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 57.9 in March—its lowest since November 2022—down from 64.7 in February. The decline reflects growing uncertainty over tariffs and economic stability.

Domestic Market:

Domestic equity benchmarks closed with slight losses on Thursday. The Nifty fell below 22,400 after reaching an intraday high of 22,558.05. Volatility was elevated due to weekly index option expiry on the NSE. Despite positive global cues initially pushing markets higher, selling pressure in heavyweight stocks across sectors dragged the Nifty down. All major indices, except banking, finished lower, with realty, auto, and metal sectors experiencing the steepest declines. Broader indices also retreated, each losing nearly 1%.

The S&P BSE Sensex declined 200.85 points, or 0.27%, to 73,828.91. The Nifty 50 index lost 73.30 points, or 0.33%, to 22,397.20.

The domesic stock market was closed on Friday, 14th March 2025, on account of Holi.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 21.50 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Economy:

India’s retail inflation eased to a seven-month low of 3.61% in February 2025, down from 4.31% in January, as food price pressures softened, according to government data released on Wednesday. This brings inflation below the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) medium-term target of 4% for the first time since August 2024.

Meanwhile, India’s industrial output growth picked up to 5% year-on-year in January 2025, compared to 3.2% in December 2024.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,627.61 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,510.35 crore in the Indian equity market on 12 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 30185.86 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

Asian shares were mixed on Thursday, following an overnight rebound in U.S. tech stocks. However, persistent concerns over trade tensions and global economic uncertainties suggest that market volatility is not going away anytime soon.

On Wednesday, major U.S. stock indices closed higher after a cooler-than-expected US CPI inflation report, but gains were tempered by renewed tariff threats from President Donald Trump. The S&P 500 climbed 0.5%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite surged 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, edged 0.2% lower.

Inflation data showed a slight cooling, with the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rising 2.8% year-over-year in February, down from January's 3% increase. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, recorded a 3.1% uptick—its slowest pace since 2021.

Despite easing inflation, investors remain wary. Trump's decision to impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports has reignited fears of higher prices, potentially offsetting any economic relief from cooling inflation.

The European Union quickly responded, announcing counter-tariffs on $28 billion worth of U.S. goods, set to take effect in April. Canada followed suit, slapping retaliatory tariffs on $21 billion worth of American imports, including steel and aluminum. As tensions mount, concerns of a global trade war are intensifying, raising the risk of rising consumer prices and potential job losses across key industries.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks ended with minor losses on Wednesday. The Nifty concluded trading below the 22,500 mark, retreating from an intraday high of 22,577.40 reached in early trading. IT, realty and media shares tumbled. On the other hand, private banks, financial services and auto shares climbed.

Investor sentiment was weighed down by persistent selling by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) in Indian equities. Concerns surrounding US President Trump's trade policies and the looming risk of a recession in the United States also contributed to the cautious atmosphere.

The S&P BSE Sensex shed 72.56 points or 0.10% to 74,029.76. The Nifty 50 index lost 27.40 points or 0.12%, to 22,470.50.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 41 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 2,823.76 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,001.79 crore in the Indian equity market on 11 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 28961.42 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures were up 107 points, indicating a positive opening in the US stocks today.

Asian stocks showed a mixed performance on Wednesday after President Donald Trump downplayed recession concerns, helping US markets stage a late recovery following a volatile session.

Trump also ruled out any exemptions from steel and aluminum tariffs, despite strong lobbying efforts by Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

In the US on Tuesday, the S&P 500 slipped 0.76%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.14%. The Nasdaq Composite edged 0.18% lower. Tesla Inc. rebounded 3.7% after a steep 15% drop on Monday, while Delta Air Lines Inc. extended its losses, plunging over 7% after issuing a profit warning.

Trade tensions escalated further as Trump unexpectedly raised tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports to 50%, up from 25%, in response to Ontario’s new 25% surcharge on electricity exports to the US. However, within hours, Ontario Premier Doug Ford agreed to suspend the surcharge and scheduled talks with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick in Washington. In turn, Trump withdrew the tariff hike, restoring the original 25% rate on Canadian metals.

Investors now turn their attention to the upcoming US consumer price inflation report, a key indicator ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks ended Tuesday's session near the flat line, recovering from a weak start. The Nifty rebounded from the day's low of 22,314.70 in early trade to close near the 22,500 mark. The rebound was supported by a decline in crude oil prices and selective buying in heavyweight stocks. However, lingering concerns over the potential impact of US President Donald Trump's tariff policies and their subsequent economic consequences continued to weigh on investor sentiment. Realty and energy shares were in demand, while private banks and IT shares were under pressure.

The S&P BSE Sensex shed 12.85 points or 0.02% to 74,102.32. The Nifty 50 index added 37.60 points, or 0.17%, to 22,497.90.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is down 11.50 points, indicating a negative opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 485.41 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 263.51 crore in the Indian equity market on 10 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 28463.50 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks tumbled for a third straight session on Tuesday, mirroring Wall Street losses as fears grew that tariffs and political upheaval could derail growth in the world's largest economy.

Investor concerns deepened over a potential slowdown in US economic expansion after President Donald Trump escalated trade tensions and continued to cut spending while unsettling long-standing geopolitical alliances.

In Japan, fresh government data showed the economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.2% in Q4, down from an earlier estimate of 2.8%. However, the reading remained well above the previous quarter’s 1.2% expansion. Quarter-on-quarter, GDP growth was revised slightly lower to 0.6% from 0.7%, still ahead of the prior 0.3% pace.

On Wall Street, US stocks nosedived Monday, with the S&P 500 dropping 2.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 2%, and the NASDAQ Composite plunging 4%—largely driven by steep declines in major tech stocks.

Tesla Inc. led the selloff with a 15% plunge, while NVIDIA Corporation fell 5.1%. Broadcom Inc. shed 5.4%, and Arm Holdings declined 7.3%.

Bond markets reacted sharply, with 10-year Treasury yields slipping as investors bet that an economic slowdown could push the Federal Reserve toward interest rate cuts.

All eyes are now on the consumer price inflation report due Wednesday, a key data point ahead of next week’s Fed interest rate decision.

Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious approach, emphasizing that the central bank was closely monitoring the impact of Trump’s recent economic policies, including tariffs and federal worker layoffs.

Domestic Market:

The domestic benchmark equity indices declined on Monday, erasing early gains as profit-taking took hold in the afternoon. The Nifty slipped below 22,500 after touching an intraday high of 22,676.75. Realty, energy, and PSU bank stocks led the decline. The downturn was triggered by a sharp drop in US stock futures, renewed trade tensions, and weak cues from Asian markets. Investors remained cautious ahead of key economic data releases this week, including CPI figures from both the US and India. Asian markets struggled as concerns over deflationary pressures in China compounded worries about sluggish US growth and escalating global trade tensions.

The S&P BSE Sensex fell 217.41 points or 0.29% to 74,115.17. The Nifty 50 index lost 92.20 points or 0.41%, to 22,460.30.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is down 76.50 points, indicating a negative opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 2,035.10 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,320.36 crore in the Indian equity market on 7 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 25246.67 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures were down 162 points, indicating a negative opening in the US stocks today. Investors remained wary of uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and mulled over Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious remarks.

Asian markets traded mostly lower on Monday as traders analysed fresh economic data from China. Over the weekend, China’s consumer inflation dipped into negative territory for the first time in 13 months, driven by seasonal distortions and broader economic headwinds. The consumer price index (CPI) fell 0.7% year-over-year in February, reversing a 0.5% gain in January, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

Adding to market jitters, Beijing announced retaliatory tariffs on certain Canadian agricultural products. The move comes after Canada imposed import duties last year on Chinese electric vehicles, steel, and aluminum. Under the new measures, China will slap a 100% tariff on Canadian rapeseed oil, oil cakes, and peas, while a 25% levy will be applied to aquatic products and pork.

In the U.S., major stock indices closed higher on Friday after a volatile trading day. The S&P 500 index rose 0.55% to 5,770.20, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7% to 18,196.22. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 222.64 points, or 0.52%, to end at 42,801.72.

Meanwhile, the latest labor market data painted a mixed picture. The U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February—falling short of expectations—while the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1% from January’s 4.0%, signaling possible cracks in labor market resilience.

Speaking on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank’s cautious stance on interest rates. While acknowledging that the U.S. economy remains stable, he emphasized the need for patience, particularly in light of President Donald Trump’s recent economic policy shifts, which include tariffs and federal worker layoffs. Powell’s comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to alter its policy path amid lingering uncertainties.

Domestic Market:

The key equity benchmark indices closed almost flat on Friday, reflecting a cautious sentiment among investors. Global financial markets were unsettled by ongoing concerns regarding US tariffs and fluctuating international trade policies. The Nifty 50 index managed to close slightly above the 22,550 mark. Sector-wise, energy and metal stocks saw gains, while IT, realty, and consumer durables shares experienced declines. The S&P BSE Sensex shed 7.51 points, or 0.01%, to 74,332.58. The Nifty 50 index rose 7.80 points, or 0.03%, to 22,552.50.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 45 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 2,377.32 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,617.80 crore in the Indian equity market on 6 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 22600 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures were up 95 points, indicating a positive opening in the US stocks today.

Most Asian shares fell on Friday after Wall Street traders navigated falling stocks amid whipsawing tariff headlines.

US stocks closed sharply lower Thursday amid uncertainty around President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, while investors remained cautious ahead of a key employment report expected to provide insights into the nation’s economic health. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1%, while the NASDAQ Composite dropped 2.6%. The S&P 500 also declined 1.8%.

Technology stocks experienced significant losses. NVIDIA Corporation stock plunged 5.7%, while Tesla Inc closed 5.6% lower. Broadcom Inc closed 6.3% lower after jumping 13% in early trade on Thursday. The company reported upbeat guidance for the current quarter and better-than-expected first-quarter results on growing AI-led demand for its custom chips.

U.S. jobless claims fell more than expected last week to 221,000, signaling a strong labor market. For the week ending February 22, initial claims under the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees program rose to 1,634, up from 614 the previous week.

Investors now await Friday’s employment report for insights on the economy and potential Fed rate moves amid tariff concerns and rising factory costs.

Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Thursday to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve, a day before meeting with executives from the cryptocurrency industry at the White House. The reserve will be capitalized with bitcoin owned by the federal government that was forfeited as part of criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings.

Domestic Market:

The domesic benchmark indices closed with strong gains for the second day in a row on Thursday, driven by positive global cues and falling crude oil prices. The Nifty index finished above the 22,500 level, recovering from an early dip to 22,245.85. Volatility was observed due to the expiry of weekly index options on the NSE. Energy, metal, and pharma stocks led the rally, while realty shares faced some pressure.

The decline in crude oil prices following OPEC+'s announcement of a gradual unwinding of production cuts provided a significant boost to market sentiment. Lower crude prices are beneficial for India, a major oil importer. The S&P BSE Sensex surged 609.86 points, or 0.83%, to 74,349.09. The Nifty 50 index added 207.40 points, or 0.93%, to 22,544.70. The 50-unit index has risen 2.02% in two straight sessions.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 34 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 2,895.04 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 3,370.60 crore in the Indian equity market on 5 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 20228.53 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

Asian equities climbed Thursday, following Wall Street’s rally, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a one-month delay on newly imposed auto tariffs for Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, German bonds tumbled amid rising defense spending.

The White House confirmed the postponement, with press spokesperson Karoline Leavitt stating that Trump remains open to further tariff exemptions after discussions with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

In Asia, key economic data releases include unemployment figures from the Philippines, inflation updates from Vietnam, and Malaysia’s interest rate decision. Later in the day, both the European Central Bank and Turkey’s central bank will announce their own rate decisions.

On the U.S. economic front, initial jobless claims data is due ahead of Friday's critical monthly payrolls report.

U.S. stocks surged Wednesday after Trump’s decision to grant automakers a temporary exemption from the newly imposed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.1% higher on Wednesday, ending a two-day losing streak. The S&P 500 also advanced by 1.1%, while the NASDAQ Composite climbed 1.5%.

Shares of major automakers jumped, with General Motors advancing 7.2%, and Ford climbing 5.8%. Stellantis NV shares surged 9.2%, while U.S.-listed Toyota Motor shares jumped 6.5%.

Adding to market optimism, fresh data showed unexpected strength in the U.S. services sector. The ISM Services PMI rose to 53.5 in February from 52.8 in January, beating forecasts and signaling resilience in economic activity.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks erupted with significant gains on Tuesday. The Nifty soared above the 22,330 mark, shattering a ten-day losing streak. The market's dramatic turnaround was fueled by buoyant global market sentiment, propelling all sectoral indices on the NSE into positive territory. Metal and PSU bank shares spearheaded the rally, demonstrating robust performance. Yet, traders remained cautious, as trade war anxieties haunted global markets. US tariffs triggered retaliation, fanning fears of a widespread conflict.

The S&P BSE Sensex jumped 740.30 points or 1.01% to 73,730.23. The Nifty 50 index surged 254.65 points or 1.15% to 22,337.30. The 50-unit index slumped 3.83% in the past ten consecutive sessions.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 41 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,405.82 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 4,851.43 crore in the Indian equity market on 4 March 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 16675.59 crore (so far) in the secondary market during March 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore in February 2024.

Global Markets:

US Dow Jones index futures were up 182 points, indicating a strong opening in the US stocks today.

Most Asian stocks traded higher Wednesday, with losses contained as US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested the Trump administration could enter negotiations with Mexico and Canada, just a day after imposing substantial tariffs on imports from both neighboring nations.

Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, along with 20% levies on China. In response, Canada announced immediate retaliatory measures, while Mexico also signaled its intention to respond. China’s finance ministry has said it would impose 15% tariffs on several agricultural products, along with a 10% tariff on dairy.

At China’s National People’s Congress starting Wednesday, Beijing set an economic growth target of about 5% for 2025, a third straight year it has maintained that goal. Premier Li Qiang is scheduled to present this target during his address at the National People’s Congress (NPC) later on Wednesday.

China's Caixin services PMI came in at 51.4 in February, above expectations for a 50.8 print. The reading was higher than the 51.0 seen in January.

Australia’s gross domestic product rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed on Wednesday. The print picked up from the 0.3% seen in the prior quarter. GDP grew 1.3% year-on-year, above expectations of 1.2% and higher than the 0.8% seen in the prior quarter.

United States equities fell on Tuesday, as losses in the Dow Jones Telecommunications, Dow Jones Financials and Dow Jones Consumer Goods sectors led shares lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.55% to hit a new 1-month low, while the S&P 500 index declined 1.22%, and the NASDAQ Composite index declined 0.35%.

Among financials, Morgan Stanley led losses with a 5.7% decline, while JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs fell nearly 4%, each. In automakers, Ford Motor Company slipped 2.9%, while Stellantis NV declined 4.4%, and General Motors Company lost 4.6%. NVIDIA’s stock rose 1.6%, after entering a bear market territory in the last session with an over 8% fall.

Domestic Market:

Domestic equity benchmarks declined on Tuesday, as the ripple effects of newly implemented US tariffs on major trading partners reverberated across trading floors. The Nifty 50 settled below the 22,100 level, suffering its tenth consecutive session of losses. This extended decline is primarily attributed to concerns surrounding potential retaliatory tariffs from China, Canada, and Mexico, following the US government's recent trade actions. Adding to the market's unease are fears of rising inflation in the US, which could prompt the Federal Reserve to postpone anticipated interest rate cuts. Persistent foreign fund outflows further dampened investor sentiment. Sector-wise, the IT sector, heavily exposed to the US market, experienced significant losses. Auto and FMCG shares also faced downward pressure, while select financial and PSU stocks managed to eke out gains.

The S&P BSE Sensex, fell 96.01 points or 0.13% to 72,989.93. The Nifty 50 index shed 36.65 points or 0.17% to 22,082.65. The 50-unit index is down 3.83% in ten consecutive sessions.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is down 157 points, indicating a weak opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 4,788.29 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 8,790.70 crore in the Indian equity market on 03 March 2025, provisional data showed.

Global Markets:

Japanese stocks fell more than 2% to lead declines in Asia-Pacific markets, after U.S. President Donald Trump made it clear that tariffs on Mexico and Canada would go into effect as planned.

Investors will be keeping a watch on Chinese stocks ahead of the country’s annual parliamentary gathering, known as the “Two Sessions,” which will kick off later in the day.

Overnight in the U.S., all three major indexes fell as Trump reiterated that 25% levies on imports from Mexico and Canada would go into effect Tuesday stateside.

The S&P 500 fell 1.76% to end the day at 5,849.72, marking this the benchmark’s worst day since December. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 649.67 points, or 1.48%, to finish at 43,191.24. The Nasdaq Composite slid 2.64% to close at 18,350.19, weighed down by Nvidia’s decline of more than 8%.

On the economic front, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams is slated to speak Tuesday afternoon in New York.

Markets in Europe closed higher on Monday, amid a charge in defense shares after regional leaders held security talks that touched on bolstered military spending.

The regional Stoxx 600 index moved between losses and gains in early deals before closing 1.1% higher. The Stoxx Europe aerospace and defense index rose by 8%, marking its best session in five years. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told reporters in Brussels on Monday that the bloc’s 27 member states would be given details about the so-called rearm Europe plan on Tuesday.

Her comments came after British Prime Minister Keir Starmer hosted a Ukraine peace summit over the weekend. During the talks, the U.K. leader said Kyiv’s allies must step up and continue their support.

Domestic Market:

The domestic equity benchmarks opened higher but closed with minor losses on Monday amid a volatile session. The Nifty closed below the 22,120 mark after hitting the day's high of 22,261.55.

While IT and metal stocks offered support, oil & gas and financial services stocks weighed on the indices. Initial optimism from India's stronger-than-expected Q3 FY25 GDP growth faded as global trade uncertainties dampened sentiment.

The S&P BSE Sensex fell 112.16 points, or 0.15%, to 73,085.94. The Nifty 50 index shed 5.40 points, or 0.02%, to 22,119.30.

In the broader market, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index advanced 0.25% and the S&P BSE Small-Cap index declined 0.70%.

GIFT Nifty:

The GIFT Nifty March 2025 futures contract is up 26.50 points, indicating a positive opening in the Nifty 50 index today.

FIR against ex-SEBI chief:

A special court has directed the Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB) to register a first information report (FIR) against former SEBI chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch, the whole time members of the market regulator, and two BSE officials, on charges of alleged stock market fraud, regulatory violations, and corruption linked to the listing of a company in 1994. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) said it would take legal steps to challenge the order. The order comes just two days after Buch completed her tenure as SEBI chief.

Institutional Flows:

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 11,639.02 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 12,308.63 crore in the Indian equity market on 28 February 2025, provisional data showed.

According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth Rs 41748.97 crore (so far) in the secondary market during February 2025. This follows their sale of shares worth Rs 81903.72 crore in January 2024.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks started the week on a positive note Monday, shaking off tariff concerns, while Bitcoin skyrocketed on news that it will be included in a new U.S. strategic reserve for cryptocurrencies.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced via social media that five digital assets—Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana, and Cardano—are set to be part of this reserve, fueling a surge in crypto prices.

Meanwhile, China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI climbed to 50.8 in February, beating expectations of 50.4 and rising from January’s 50.1. This marks the index’s largest jump since November and its fifth consecutive month of expansion, signaling steady economic momentum.

Geopolitical tensions remained in focus as European leaders drafted a Ukraine peace plan for the U.S., following a tense Oval Office exchange between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Concerns about the U.S. economy deepened with a string of weak data points, pushing the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker to an annualized -1.5% from +2.3%, fueling recession fears.

Adding to market jitters, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada will take effect Tuesday, March 4, 2025. While an initial 25% tariff was proposed, Lutnick indicated that Trump will finalize the exact rates on Tuesday—alongside a fresh 10% tariff on Chinese imports.

With the January U.S. payrolls report set for release Friday, investors are watching closely. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could boost expectations that the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates three times this year.

Despite a brief stumble, Wall Street ended Friday on a high note. The S&P 500 jumped 1.59%, the Nasdaq surged 1.63%, and the Dow Jones gained 1.4%, as traders brushed off geopolitical anxieties following the fiery Trump-Zelenskyy meeting.

In individual stocks, Dell tumbled over 4% after warning of a decline in adjusted gross margin for its 2026 fiscal year.

On the economic front, the PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 0.3% in January, matching December’s pace. Year-over-year, inflation eased slightly to 2.5% from 2.6%. Core inflation (excluding food and energy) also increased 0.3% month-over-month, with a year-on-year dip to 2.6% from December’s 2.9%.

However, despite this moderation in inflation, consumer sentiment declined by 0.2% in January—its first drop in nearly two years, raising concerns about spending trends ahead.

Domestic Market:

A wave of panic swept through the domestic equity market on Friday, leading to steep declines in benchmark indices. The Nifty slumped almost 2% to close below 22,125, as persistent FII selling and weak global cues fueled a broad sell-off. All sectoral indices on the NSE closed lower, with IT and auto stocks registering significant losses. Investor sentiment was eroded by concerns stemming from the announcement of potential import levies by U.S. President Trump. The S&P BSE Sensex tanked 1414.33 points or 1.90% to 73,198.10. The Nifty 50 index declined 420.35 points or 1.86% to 22,124.70.